Benevento 4-1 Rossoblu Potenza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.68
Over
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2.77
2-3
40%
1.77
4-5
18%
4.22
6+
8%
20.7
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.77 — our 34% vs market 30.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.1pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benevento The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Rossoblu Potenza The Market 24%
+15% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.24/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.14
-22% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benevento
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Rossoblu Potenza
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Benevento Benevento 1-2 HT 1-1 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza İTCK
07.03.2024 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza 0-2 HT 0-2 Benevento Benevento İTC
30.10.2023 Benevento Benevento 1-0 HT 1-0 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benevento
4-1
AWAY Rossoblu Potenza
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Benevento vs Rossoblu Potenza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benevento cruised past Rossoblu Potenza 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Benevento as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Benevento had 49% of the ball to Rossoblu Potenza's 51%, shots finished 19-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Benevento had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Benevento and 0.67 for Rossoblu Potenza.

What was the final score of Benevento vs Rossoblu Potenza?

Benevento 4-1 Rossoblu Potenza in the Italy - Serie C on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benevento vs Rossoblu Potenza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Benevento 45%, draw 27%, Rossoblu Potenza 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benevento) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Benevento) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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