Benevento 1-2 Rossoblu Potenza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
54%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.54
Over
49%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.27
No
53%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2.35
2-3
39%
1.78
4-5
23%
5.15
6+
11%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Benevento win — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
54%
Home Win
56%
-1.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
61%
-10.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
39%
+10.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.4pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benevento The Market 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Rossoblu Potenza The Market 21%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/2.17
+23% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
321 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benevento
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Rossoblu Potenza
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
07.03.2024 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza 0-2 HT 0-2 Benevento Benevento İTC
30.10.2023 Benevento Benevento 1-0 HT 1-0 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benevento
1-2
AWAY Rossoblu Potenza
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Benevento vs Rossoblu Potenza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rossoblu Potenza squeezed past Benevento 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Benevento at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Benevento had 58% of the ball to Rossoblu Potenza's 42%, shots finished 13-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Benevento had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Benevento and 0.00 for Rossoblu Potenza.

What was the final score of Benevento vs Rossoblu Potenza?

Benevento 1-2 Rossoblu Potenza in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benevento vs Rossoblu Potenza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Benevento 54%, draw 25%, Rossoblu Potenza 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Benevento) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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