Ventforet Kofu 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.04
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
45%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.51
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.9
6+ Goals
10%
8.39
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.51 — our 28% vs market 17.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
22%
+8.9pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.0pp
45%
Away Win
56%
-10.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.2pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 60%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.31/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.82/1.50
+10% / +116% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -47%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ventforet Kofu
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
234 Passes 634
74% Pass Accuracy 88%
13 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.09.2024 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 1-0 HT 1-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JLK
27.08.2017 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 2-2 HT 0-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
08.04.2017 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 HT 0-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP
06.08.2016 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 4-0 HT 1-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP
19.03.2016 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 0-4 HT 0-2 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
12.09.2015 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-3 HT 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ventforet Kofu
1-1
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ventforet Kofu vs Kawasaki Frontale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ventforet Kofu and Kawasaki Frontale couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kawasaki Frontale at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ventforet Kofu had 37% of the ball to Kawasaki Frontale's 63%, shots finished 11-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kawasaki Frontale led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ventforet Kofu and 2.50 for Kawasaki Frontale.

What was the final score of Ventforet Kofu vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Ventforet Kofu 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale in the Japan - League Cup on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ventforet Kofu vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ventforet Kofu 31%, draw 24%, Kawasaki Frontale 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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