Consadole Sapporo 3-1 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.63
Over 2.5
52%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.39
No
46%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
6.08
2-3 Goals
35%
2.08
4-5 Goals
26%
2.56
6+ Goals
13%
5.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.7pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
34%
+13.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
66%
-13.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.0pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -14%
1.17/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.83
-11% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +60%
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Consadole Sapporo
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
1.47 xG 2.19
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
387 Passes 438
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
33 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.09.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 6-1 HT 2-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JLK
07.08.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 3-2 HT 2-1 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
23.06.2024 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 0-1 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
21.10.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 4-1 HT 1-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
10.09.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 3-0 HT 1-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JLK
06.09.2023 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 3-2 HT 1-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Consadole Sapporo
3-1
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
13 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Consadole Sapporo vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Consadole Sapporo got the better of Yokohama F. Marinos 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Consadole Sapporo found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Consadole Sapporo had 57% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 43%, shots finished 17-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yokohama F. Marinos led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Consadole Sapporo and 3.17 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

What was the final score of Consadole Sapporo vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Consadole Sapporo 3-1 Yokohama F. Marinos in the Japan - League Cup on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Consadole Sapporo vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Consadole Sapporo 36%, draw 27%, Yokohama F. Marinos 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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