Yokohama F. Marinos 3-2 Consadole Sapporo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 7 Aug 2024

📅07/08/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.41
No
42%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
7.01
2-3 Goals
36%
2.19
4-5 Goals
27%
2.46
6+ Goals
18%
4.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.06
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
15%
4.48
X/2
12%
9.95
X/X
8%
7.04
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
18.55
2/2
8%
6.06
2/X
8%
14.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.55 — our 9% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.1pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.4pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+4.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
67%
-8.2pp
42%
BTTS No
33%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 26%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
1.99/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.55
+14% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -29%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
420 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
20.4 Crosses 16.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.12 xG 1.31
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
404 Passes 416
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 38
10 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.06.2024 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 0-1 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
21.10.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 4-1 HT 1-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
10.09.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 3-0 HT 1-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JLK
06.09.2023 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 3-2 HT 1-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JLK
24.05.2023 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 3-2 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JLK
05.04.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-1 HT 2-1 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
3-2
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
2.34 xG 1.78
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
506 Passes 330
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Consadole Sapporo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama F. Marinos nicked a narrow win over Consadole Sapporo 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Yokohama F. Marinos as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 59% of the ball to Consadole Sapporo's 41%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 2.34 to 1.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yokohama F. Marinos had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.33 for Consadole Sapporo.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Consadole Sapporo?

Yokohama F. Marinos 3-2 Consadole Sapporo in the Japan - J1 League on 07/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Consadole Sapporo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 50%, draw 23%, Consadole Sapporo 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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