Dumiense 2-3 Vilaverdense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.71
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
52%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.91
Over 2.5
58%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.88
No
44%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+9.1pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.1pp
51%
Away Win
58%
-7.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.5pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dumiense EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Vilaverdense EU Bookmakers 62%
+72% / +72% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+75% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
251 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dumiense
2-3
AWAY Vilaverdense
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dumiense vs Vilaverdense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vilaverdense nicked a narrow win over Dumiense 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vilaverdense as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Dumiense had 42% of the ball to Vilaverdense's 58%, shots finished 9-19.

What was the final score of Dumiense vs Vilaverdense?

Dumiense 2-3 Vilaverdense in the Portugal - Cup on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dumiense vs Vilaverdense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vilaverdense win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Dumiense 27%, draw 21%, Vilaverdense 51%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vilaverdense), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vilaverdense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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