U. Coimbra 2-2 Beira-Mar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
29%
+9.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
33%
Away Win
44%
-10.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME U. Coimbra EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Beira-Mar EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / +149%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
233 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME U. Coimbra
2-2
AWAY Beira-Mar
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 13
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH U. Coimbra vs Beira-Mar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

U. Coimbra and Beira-Mar couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, U. Coimbra had 38% of the ball to Beira-Mar's 62%, shots finished 6-17.

What was the final score of U. Coimbra vs Beira-Mar?

U. Coimbra 2-2 Beira-Mar in the Portugal - Cup on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for U. Coimbra vs Beira-Mar?

Before kick-off our model rated a U. Coimbra win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split U. Coimbra 39%, draw 28%, Beira-Mar 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (U. Coimbra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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