Leça 2-2 AD Marco 09 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-5.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+5.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leça EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY AD Marco 09 EU Bookmakers 37%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-31% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leça
2-2
AWAY AD Marco 09
52% Ball Possession 48%
32 Total Shots 14
11 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Leça vs AD Marco 09
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leça and AD Marco 09 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leça had 52% of the ball to AD Marco 09's 48%, shots finished 32-14.

What was the final score of Leça vs AD Marco 09?

Leça 2-2 AD Marco 09 in the Portugal - Cup on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leça vs AD Marco 09?

Before kick-off our model rated an AD Marco 09 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Leça 33%, draw 28%, AD Marco 09 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AD Marco 09) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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