Vila Real 0-0 Joane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.71
Over 2.5
54%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.5pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
55%
-9.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
45%
+9.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.9pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vila Real EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Joane EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
380 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vila Real
0-0
AWAY Joane
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vila Real vs Joane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vila Real and Joane played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Vila Real at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Vila Real had 51% of the ball to Joane's 49%, shots finished 16-12.

What was the final score of Vila Real vs Joane?

Vila Real 0-0 Joane in the Portugal - Cup on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vila Real vs Joane?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Real win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Vila Real 44%, draw 23%, Joane 33%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vila Real) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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