Gana 1-0 Mali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 8 Sep 2025

Gana
1-0 HT 0-0
Mali
📅08/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Gana vs Mali Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
29%
2.77
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.36
Over 2.5
34%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.4
No
60%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
1.77
2-3 Goals
33%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
6.93
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.2pp
29%
Draw
33%
-3.4pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.1pp
66%
Under 2.5
70%
-3.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
30%
+3.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
38%
+2.7pp
60%
BTTS No
62%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gana v Mali — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gana EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Mali EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.11/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/0.28
-23% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -96% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
17.0 Crosses 17.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2

Gana vs Mali Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gana
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Mali
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
234 Passes 318
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
6 Box Touches 17
8 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
06.06.2024 Mali Mali 1-2 HT 1-0 Gana Gana DKE
09.10.2020 Gana Gana 0-3 HT 0-1 Mali Mali HAZ
21.01.2017 Gana Gana 1-0 HT 1-0 Mali Mali AFUK
31.03.2015 Gana Gana 1-1 HT 0-0 Mali Mali HAZ
09.02.2013 Mali Mali 3-1 HT 1-0 Gana Gana AFUK
24.01.2013 Gana Gana 1-0 HT 1-0 Mali Mali AFUK

Gana 1-0 Mali — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gana
1-0
AWAY Mali
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gana vs Mali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gana edged past Mali 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Gana found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 6-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gana had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gana and 1.33 for Mali.

What was the final score of Gana vs Mali?

Gana 1-0 Mali in the World Cup Qualifiers on 08/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gana vs Mali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gana win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gana 39%, draw 29%, Mali 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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