Achuapa 4-1 Xelaju MC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 8 Sep 2025

📅08/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.46
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
37%
+8.4pp
26%
Draw
32%
-5.6pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-2.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.5pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Achuapa EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -14%
1.19/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.20
+1% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Achuapa
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Xelaju MC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 4
06.03.2025 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 0-3 HT 0-1 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
20.01.2025 Achuapa Achuapa 2-0 HT 2-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
27.10.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 2-0 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
12.08.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 0-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
11.04.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 4-1 HT 1-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
03.12.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 1-3 HT 0-1 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
POST-MATCH Achuapa vs Xelaju MC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Achuapa swept aside Xelaju MC 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Achuapa as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xelaju MC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Achuapa and 1.50 for Xelaju MC.

What was the final score of Achuapa vs Xelaju MC?

Achuapa 4-1 Xelaju MC in the Guatemala - National League on 08/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Achuapa vs Xelaju MC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Achuapa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Achuapa 46%, draw 26%, Xelaju MC 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Achuapa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Achuapa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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