Neptüna Klaipeda 5-2 FK BANGA II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.18
Draw
15%
7.13
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.46
Over 2.5
68%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
13%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
81%
-13.2pp
15%
Draw
12%
+3.1pp
17%
Away Win
7%
+10.1pp
32%
Under 2.5
25%
+7.1pp
68%
Over 2.5
75%
-7.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY FK BANGA II EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.61/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/2.23
+11% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +0%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
460 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda
3W-0D-0L
AWAY FK BANGA II
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.06.2024 FK BANGA II 0-6 HT 0-2 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
05.08.2022 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 4-1 HT 1-1 FK BANGA II LIT1
27.03.2022 FK BANGA II 0-5 HT 0-3 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
POST-MATCH Neptüna Klaipeda vs FK BANGA II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neptüna Klaipeda swept aside FK BANGA II 5-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Neptüna Klaipeda as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Neptüna Klaipeda had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals for Neptüna Klaipeda and 0.33 for FK BANGA II.

What was the final score of Neptüna Klaipeda vs FK BANGA II?

Neptüna Klaipeda 5-2 FK BANGA II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neptüna Klaipeda vs FK BANGA II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neptüna Klaipeda win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Neptüna Klaipeda 68%, draw 15%, FK BANGA II 17%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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