Stenhousemuir 2-2 Kelty Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.9
Over 2.5
56%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.9
No
42%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.25
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
24%
3.38
6+ Goals
11%
12.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.38 — our 24% vs market 23.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
60%
-2.9pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.6pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
49%
-5.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
51%
+5.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
49%
+8.9pp
42%
BTTS No
51%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 21%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +18%
0.54/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.59
-71% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 6.0
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenhousemuir
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kelty Hearts
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
5 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
13.09.2025 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-1 HT 0-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
15.03.2025 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-0 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
11.01.2025 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
26.10.2024 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 2-1 HT 1-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
10.08.2024 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 2-0 HT 1-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
26.03.2022 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
POST-MATCH Stenhousemuir vs Kelty Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenhousemuir and Kelty Hearts shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Stenhousemuir at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Stenhousemuir and 0.67 for Kelty Hearts.

What was the final score of Stenhousemuir vs Kelty Hearts?

Stenhousemuir 2-2 Kelty Hearts in the Scotland - 1st Division on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenhousemuir vs Kelty Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stenhousemuir win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Stenhousemuir 57%, draw 19%, Kelty Hearts 24%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stenhousemuir) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stenhousemuir) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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