AFC Sudbury 1-3 Barwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.7pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Barwell EU Bookmakers 49%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
1.29/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/2.29
-7% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -78% / -42%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Sudbury
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Barwell
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.02.2025 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 1-1 HT 1-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
30.11.2024 Barwell Barwell 3-1 HT 0-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
20.01.2024 Barwell Barwell 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
05.08.2023 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 1-1 HT 1-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
POST-MATCH AFC Sudbury vs Barwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barwell beat AFC Sudbury 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Barwell as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Barwell led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for AFC Sudbury and 1.25 for Barwell.

What was the final score of AFC Sudbury vs Barwell?

AFC Sudbury 1-3 Barwell in the England - Non League Premier on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Sudbury vs Barwell?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barwell win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split AFC Sudbury 31%, draw 25%, Barwell 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barwell), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barwell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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