Renate 1-0 Virtus Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.31
6+ Goals
8%
22.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renate EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 29%
-10% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +32%
0.94/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.89
-29% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +42%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renate
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Virtus Verona
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.01.2025 Renate Renate 0-3 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
20.09.2024 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 1-2 HT 1-0 Renate Renate İTC
30.03.2024 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-0 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
25.11.2023 Renate Renate 1-1 HT 1-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
16.04.2023 Renate Renate 1-1 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
11.12.2022 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 3-0 HT 2-0 Renate Renate İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renate
1-0
AWAY Virtus Verona
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Renate vs Virtus Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renate edged past Virtus Verona 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Renate as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Renate had 53% of the ball to Virtus Verona's 47%, shots finished 15-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Virtus Verona led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Renate and 1.50 for Virtus Verona.

What was the final score of Renate vs Virtus Verona?

Renate 1-0 Virtus Verona in the Italy - Serie C on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renate vs Virtus Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Renate win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Renate 41%, draw 28%, Virtus Verona 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Renate), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Renate) ✓ Under 2.5
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