Renate 0-3 Virtus Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.17
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
5.06
6+ Goals
8%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.5pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renate EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
0.97/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.01
-25% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
265 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renate
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Virtus Verona
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.09.2024 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 1-2 HT 1-0 Renate Renate İTC
30.03.2024 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-0 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
25.11.2023 Renate Renate 1-1 HT 1-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
16.04.2023 Renate Renate 1-1 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
11.12.2022 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 3-0 HT 2-0 Renate Renate İTC
23.02.2022 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-0 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renate
0-3
AWAY Virtus Verona
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Renate vs Virtus Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Verona cruised past Renate 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Renate at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Renate had 39% of the ball to Virtus Verona's 61%, shots finished 8-24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Renate and 1.00 for Virtus Verona.

What was the final score of Renate vs Virtus Verona?

Renate 0-3 Virtus Verona in the Italy - Serie C on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renate vs Virtus Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Renate win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Renate 44%, draw 29%, Virtus Verona 27%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Renate), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Renate) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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