Padova Calcio 1-1 Pro Vercelli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.34
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.6
No
58%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.61
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.01
6+ Goals
9%
19.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
70%
-11.1pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.1pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+7.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
34%
+8.0pp
58%
BTTS No
66%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Vercelli EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.64/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.49
-11% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
391 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 181 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Padova Calcio
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Pro Vercelli
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2024 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 1-3 HT 1-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
24.03.2024 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 2-0 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
19.11.2023 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 3-2 HT 2-1 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
23.12.2022 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 1-0 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
03.09.2022 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 1-0 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
02.04.2022 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 0-1 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Padova Calcio
1-1
AWAY Pro Vercelli
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Padova Calcio vs Pro Vercelli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Padova Calcio and Pro Vercelli couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Padova Calcio at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Padova Calcio had 58% of the ball to Pro Vercelli's 42%, shots finished 10-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Padova Calcio had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Padova Calcio and 1.00 for Pro Vercelli.

What was the final score of Padova Calcio vs Pro Vercelli?

Padova Calcio 1-1 Pro Vercelli in the Italy - Serie C on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Padova Calcio vs Pro Vercelli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Padova Calcio 59%, draw 24%, Pro Vercelli 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Padova Calcio), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
25 Jan 2025
17:00 Novara vs Pro Patria Analysis →
17:00 Renate vs Virtus Verona Analysis →
17:00 Clodiense vs Arzignano Valchiampo Analysis →
17:00 Atalanta II vs Lumezzane Analysis →
17:00 Athletic Carpi vs SPAL Analysis →
17:00 Pineto vs Sassari Torres Analysis →