Pro Vercelli 1-3 Padova Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.48
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
50%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
5.09
6+ Goals
8%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
24%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+5.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
50%
Away Win
54%
-3.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.8pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Vercelli EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 57%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.18/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.95
+25% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -12%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Vercelli
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Padova Calcio
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.03.2024 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 2-0 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
19.11.2023 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 3-2 HT 2-1 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
23.12.2022 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 1-0 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
03.09.2022 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 1-0 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
02.04.2022 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 0-1 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
28.11.2021 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 1-0 HT 1-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Vercelli
1-3
AWAY Padova Calcio
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Pro Vercelli vs Padova Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Padova Calcio got the better of Pro Vercelli 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Padova Calcio as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pro Vercelli had 41% of the ball to Padova Calcio's 59%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Padova Calcio led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Pro Vercelli and 1.00 for Padova Calcio.

What was the final score of Pro Vercelli vs Padova Calcio?

Pro Vercelli 1-3 Padova Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Vercelli vs Padova Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Pro Vercelli 25%, draw 25%, Padova Calcio 50%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Padova Calcio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
20 Sep 2024
21:45 Virtus Verona vs Renate Analysis →
21:45 GIANA Erminio vs AlbinoLeffe Analysis →
21:45 Gubbio vs Campobasso Analysis →
21:45 Vis Pesaro vs Ternana Analysis →
21:45 ACR Messina vs Casertana Analysis →