GIANA Erminio 0-2 AlbinoLeffe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
5.31
6+ Goals
8%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.1pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY AlbinoLeffe EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.38/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.26
+5% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GIANA Erminio
2W-2D-2L
AWAY AlbinoLeffe
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2024 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 0-0 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
24.10.2023 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 0-0 HT 0-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
29.01.2022 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 1-2 HT 1-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
26.09.2021 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 0-1 HT 0-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
07.02.2021 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 0-1 HT 0-1 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
12.10.2020 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 0-1 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GIANA Erminio
0-2
AWAY AlbinoLeffe
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH GIANA Erminio vs AlbinoLeffe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AlbinoLeffe beat GIANA Erminio 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was GIANA Erminio at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, GIANA Erminio had 55% of the ball to AlbinoLeffe's 45%, shots finished 17-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for GIANA Erminio and 0.50 for AlbinoLeffe.

What was the final score of GIANA Erminio vs AlbinoLeffe?

GIANA Erminio 0-2 AlbinoLeffe in the Italy - Serie C on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GIANA Erminio vs AlbinoLeffe?

Before kick-off our model rated a GIANA Erminio win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split GIANA Erminio 45%, draw 27%, AlbinoLeffe 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (GIANA Erminio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (GIANA Erminio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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