Vis Pesaro 0-2 Ternana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 20 Sep 2024

Vis Pesaro
0-2 HT 0-1
Ternana
📅20/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2024/2025

Vis Pesaro vs Ternana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
46%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.47
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.82
6+ Goals
10%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
24%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-2.8pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+5.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vis Pesaro v Ternana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Ternana EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +6%
1.05/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.78
-4% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +35%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
228 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.4 Yellow Cards 1.6

Vis Pesaro 0-2 Ternana — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vis Pesaro
0-2
AWAY Ternana
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vis Pesaro vs Ternana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ternana beat Vis Pesaro 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ternana as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Vis Pesaro had 56% of the ball to Ternana's 44%, shots finished 18-11.

What was the final score of Vis Pesaro vs Ternana?

Vis Pesaro 0-2 Ternana in the Italy - Serie C on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vis Pesaro vs Ternana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ternana win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Vis Pesaro 28%, draw 26%, Ternana 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ternana), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ternana) ✓ Under 2.5
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