Virtus Verona 1-2 Renate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.44
Over 2.5
41%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.05
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
6.33
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.1pp
30%
Draw
32%
-2.0pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
66%
-6.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
34%
+6.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.6pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Renate EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.06/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.00
-9% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
301 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Verona
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Renate
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2024 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-0 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
25.11.2023 Renate Renate 1-1 HT 1-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
16.04.2023 Renate Renate 1-1 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
11.12.2022 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 3-0 HT 2-0 Renate Renate İTC
23.02.2022 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-0 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
12.09.2021 Renate Renate 3-1 HT 2-1 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Verona
1-2
AWAY Renate
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Virtus Verona vs Renate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renate edged past Virtus Verona 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Renate found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Virtus Verona had 50% of the ball to Renate's 50%, shots finished 16-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Virtus Verona and 0.83 for Renate.

What was the final score of Virtus Verona vs Renate?

Virtus Verona 1-2 Renate in the Italy - Serie C on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Verona vs Renate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Virtus Verona win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Virtus Verona 35%, draw 30%, Renate 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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