Pro Patria 1-1 Lumezzane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.74
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.2pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.6pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.0pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.03/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.16
-12% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Patria
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Lumezzane
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2025 Pro Patria Pro Patria 4-1 HT 0-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
07.12.2024 Lumezzane Lumezzane 1-1 HT 1-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
09.03.2024 Lumezzane Lumezzane 0-2 HT 0-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
03.11.2023 Pro Patria Pro Patria 0-2 HT 0-2 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
10.10.2015 Lumezzane Lumezzane 2-1 HT 1-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
30.05.2015 Pro Patria Pro Patria 0-2 HT 0-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Patria
1-1
AWAY Lumezzane
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pro Patria vs Lumezzane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Patria and Lumezzane couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Pro Patria had 51% of the ball to Lumezzane's 49%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lumezzane led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pro Patria and 1.33 for Lumezzane.

What was the final score of Pro Patria vs Lumezzane?

Pro Patria 1-1 Lumezzane in the Italy - Serie C on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Patria vs Lumezzane?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pro Patria win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pro Patria 37%, draw 27%, Lumezzane 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pro Patria) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pro Patria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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