Arzignano Valchiampo 1-0 Pergolettese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.32
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.78
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.8pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.0pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +17%
1.19/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.28
-9% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Pergolettese
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2025 Pergolettese Pergolettese 0-2 HT 0-1 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
09.11.2024 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 1-1 HT 0-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
07.04.2024 Pergolettese Pergolettese 1-1 HT 0-1 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
03.12.2023 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 2-0 HT 1-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
29.01.2023 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 0-0 HT 0-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
24.09.2022 Pergolettese Pergolettese 1-1 HT 1-1 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
1-0
AWAY Pergolettese
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pergolettese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arzignano Valchiampo squeezed past Pergolettese 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arzignano Valchiampo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Arzignano Valchiampo had 35% of the ball to Pergolettese's 65%, shots finished 6-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arzignano Valchiampo had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Arzignano Valchiampo and 0.50 for Pergolettese.

What was the final score of Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pergolettese?

Arzignano Valchiampo 1-0 Pergolettese in the Italy - Serie C on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pergolettese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arzignano Valchiampo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Arzignano Valchiampo 42%, draw 27%, Pergolettese 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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