Pergolettese 0-2 Arzignano Valchiampo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.06
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
5.46
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.9pp
28%
Draw
32%
-3.4pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+5.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.4pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.19/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/0.76
+4% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +47%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pergolettese
0W-4D-1L
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2024 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 1-1 HT 0-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
07.04.2024 Pergolettese Pergolettese 1-1 HT 0-1 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
03.12.2023 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 2-0 HT 1-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
29.01.2023 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 0-0 HT 0-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
24.09.2022 Pergolettese Pergolettese 1-1 HT 1-1 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pergolettese
0-2
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pergolettese vs Arzignano Valchiampo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arzignano Valchiampo saw off Pergolettese 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Arzignano Valchiampo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Pergolettese had 59% of the ball to Arzignano Valchiampo's 41%, shots finished 11-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Arzignano Valchiampo led the recent series with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Pergolettese and 1.00 for Arzignano Valchiampo.

What was the final score of Pergolettese vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Pergolettese 0-2 Arzignano Valchiampo in the Italy - Serie C on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pergolettese vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arzignano Valchiampo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Pergolettese 34%, draw 28%, Arzignano Valchiampo 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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