FeralpiSalo 2-0 Trento AC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.74
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.81
6+ Goals
11%
17.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 32% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-0.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FeralpiSalo EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Trento AC EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
1.60/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.98
+13% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
282 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FeralpiSalo
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Trento AC
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2024 Trento AC Trento AC 3-2 HT 0-1 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
25.03.2023 Trento AC Trento AC 0-0 HT 0-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
27.11.2022 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 1-0 HT 0-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
27.02.2022 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 1-0 HT 0-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
20.10.2021 Trento AC Trento AC 1-2 HT 1-1 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FeralpiSalo
2-0
AWAY Trento AC
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FeralpiSalo vs Trento AC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FeralpiSalo saw off Trento AC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had FeralpiSalo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FeralpiSalo had 35% of the ball to Trento AC's 65%, shots finished 12-17.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, FeralpiSalo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for FeralpiSalo and 0.80 for Trento AC.

What was the final score of FeralpiSalo vs Trento AC?

FeralpiSalo 2-0 Trento AC in the Italy - Serie C on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FeralpiSalo vs Trento AC?

Before kick-off our model rated a FeralpiSalo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FeralpiSalo 47%, draw 27%, Trento AC 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FeralpiSalo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FeralpiSalo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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