Sestri Levante 3-1 Pescara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.48
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
48%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.99
6+ Goals
7%
19.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
19%
+3.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
48%
Away Win
55%
-6.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sestri Levante EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Pescara EU Bookmakers 59%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.10/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/1.45
+14% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -46%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
359 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sestri Levante
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Pescara
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Pescara Pescara 1-0 HT 0-0 Sestri Levante Sestri Levante İTC
27.01.2024 Pescara Pescara 3-0 HT 2-0 Sestri Levante Sestri Levante İTC
19.09.2023 Sestri Levante Sestri Levante 1-2 HT 1-1 Pescara Pescara İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sestri Levante
3-1
AWAY Pescara
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sestri Levante vs Pescara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sestri Levante saw off Pescara 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Pescara at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sestri Levante had 44% of the ball to Pescara's 56%, shots finished 10-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Pescara led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Sestri Levante and 2.00 for Pescara.

What was the final score of Sestri Levante vs Pescara?

Sestri Levante 3-1 Pescara in the Italy - Serie C on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sestri Levante vs Pescara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pescara win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sestri Levante 23%, draw 29%, Pescara 48%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pescara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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