Gubbio 0-2 Virtus Entella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.51
Over 2.5
47%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
5.21
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
46%
Away Win
46%
-0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.7pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gubbio EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 50%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
1.03/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.86
-3% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +18%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
296 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gubbio
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Virtus Entella
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2024 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 2-1 HT 1-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
19.02.2024 Gubbio Gubbio 0-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
15.10.2023 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 2-1 HT 1-1 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
22.05.2023 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 3-1 HT 2-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
18.05.2023 Gubbio Gubbio 2-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
28.01.2023 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 0-0 HT 0-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gubbio
0-2
AWAY Virtus Entella
59% Ball Possession 41%
6 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gubbio vs Virtus Entella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Entella got the better of Gubbio 2-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Virtus Entella as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Gubbio had 59% of the ball to Virtus Entella's 41%, shots finished 6-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Virtus Entella led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gubbio and 1.17 for Virtus Entella.

What was the final score of Gubbio vs Virtus Entella?

Gubbio 0-2 Virtus Entella in the Italy - Serie C on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gubbio vs Virtus Entella?

Before kick-off our model rated an Virtus Entella win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gubbio 28%, draw 27%, Virtus Entella 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Virtus Entella), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Virtus Entella) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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