Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 PFC Beroe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-6.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+4.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.0pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 20%
-8% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +24%
1.89/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.24
+11% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1W-2D-3L
AWAY PFC Beroe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
13.12.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 2-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BULK
07.12.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-2 HT 0-1 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
10.08.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-2 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
14.04.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 2-2 HT 1-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
20.10.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-2 HT 0-2 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
13.03.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-0 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1-0
AWAY PFC Beroe
59% Ball Possession 41%
21 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs PFC Beroe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Plovdiv squeezed past PFC Beroe 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lokomotiv Plovdiv as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had 59% of the ball to PFC Beroe's 41%, shots finished 21-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PFC Beroe led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.33 for PFC Beroe.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs PFC Beroe?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 PFC Beroe in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs PFC Beroe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Plovdiv 53%, draw 26%, PFC Beroe 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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