Carrick Rangers 1-2 Crusaders FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.65
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.11
6+ Goals
10%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.65 — our 32% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.56
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
21%
4.64
X/2
10%
7.9
X/X
10%
5.36
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
17%
5.78
2/X
7%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+7.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.02/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.16
-38% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
470 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrick Rangers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Crusaders FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.08.2025 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 3-4 HT 3-2 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
30.12.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-0 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
16.11.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 3-0 HT 2-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
31.08.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
01.05.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 3-1 HT 2-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
30.12.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
POST-MATCH Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crusaders FC squeezed past Carrick Rangers 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Carrick Rangers at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crusaders FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Carrick Rangers and 1.67 for Crusaders FC.

What was the final score of Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders FC?

Carrick Rangers 1-2 Crusaders FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carrick Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Carrick Rangers 42%, draw 24%, Crusaders FC 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Carrick Rangers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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