Glenavon FC 3-1 Glentoran FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
17%
4.34
Away
65%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.24
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.39
6+ Goals
9%
13.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 26% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
13.05
1/2
11%
24.0
1/X
4%
22.7
X/1
8%
14.45
X/2
22%
3.69
X/X
8%
6.15
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
32%
1.73
2/X
4%
19.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
14%
+4.2pp
17%
Draw
20%
-3.1pp
65%
Away Win
66%
-1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 71%
+9% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.00/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/0.87
-1% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -8%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
291 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glenavon FC
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Glentoran FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.08.2025 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
29.07.2025 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-2 HT 1-2 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC HAZ
12.03.2025 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 3-3 HT 0-2 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
09.11.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
28.09.2024 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
05.03.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Glenavon FC vs Glentoran FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glenavon FC beat Glentoran FC 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

This one beat our numbers. Glentoran FC carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glentoran FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Glenavon FC and 1.67 for Glentoran FC.

What was the final score of Glenavon FC vs Glentoran FC?

Glenavon FC 3-1 Glentoran FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenavon FC vs Glentoran FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Glentoran FC win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Glenavon FC 18%, draw 17%, Glentoran FC 65%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Glentoran FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Glentoran FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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