Mazatlan 1-1 Necaxa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 8 Nov 2025

Mazatlan
1-1 HT 1-0
Necaxa
📅08/11/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2025/2026

Mazatlan vs Necaxa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
46%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.55
No
39%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.39
2-3 Goals
33%
1.88
4-5 Goals
29%
2.78
6+ Goals
15%
7.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+5.8pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.1pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-2.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.8pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mazatlan v Necaxa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mazatlan EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Necaxa EU Bookmakers 52%
+7% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.30/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.32
+8% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 81%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
17.4 Crosses 8.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2

Mazatlan vs Necaxa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mazatlan
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Necaxa
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.93 xG 1.38
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
352 Passes 286
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.02.2025 Necaxa Necaxa 3-1 HT 1-1 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
19.09.2024 Mazatlan Mazatlan 0-0 HT 0-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
02.03.2024 Mazatlan Mazatlan 2-1 HT 0-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
06.11.2023 Necaxa Necaxa 4-0 HT 2-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
18.03.2023 Mazatlan Mazatlan 0-1 HT 0-1 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
24.09.2022 Necaxa Necaxa 2-2 HT 1-2 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK

Mazatlan 1-1 Necaxa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mazatlan
1-1
AWAY Necaxa
1.20 xG 2.00
31% Ball Possession 69%
5 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 14
145 Passes 386
69% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 42
9 Crosses 29
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mazatlan vs Necaxa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mazatlan and Necaxa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Necaxa at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Mazatlan had 31% of the ball to Necaxa's 69%, shots finished 5-22, expected goals 1.20 to 2.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Necaxa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mazatlan and 1.83 for Necaxa.

What was the final score of Mazatlan vs Necaxa?

Mazatlan 1-1 Necaxa in the Mexico - Primera on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mazatlan vs Necaxa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Necaxa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mazatlan 33%, draw 21%, Necaxa 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Necaxa), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Necaxa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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