Tijuana 2-0 Atlas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 8 Nov 2025

Tijuana
2-0 HT 0-0
Atlas
📅08/11/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2025/2026

Tijuana vs Atlas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
20%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.33
Over 2.5
50%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.69
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
23%
2.7
6+ Goals
10%
7.06
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.69 — our 27% vs market 15.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
54%
+3.3pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.7pp
20%
Away Win
23%
-2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
39%
+10.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
61%
-10.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.7pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tijuana v Atlas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tijuana EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlas EU Bookmakers 26%
-7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.70/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.44
-7% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
350 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
22.7 Crosses 16.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Tijuana vs Atlas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tijuana
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Atlas
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.22 xG 1.25
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
368 Passes 293
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.03.2025 Tijuana Tijuana 3-4 HT 1-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
25.11.2024 Tijuana Tijuana 3-0 HT 2-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
27.10.2024 Atlas Atlas 0-0 HT 0-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
21.01.2024 Atlas Atlas 0-0 HT 0-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
30.10.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 2-0 HT 1-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
04.03.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 1-1 HT 1-1 Atlas Atlas MEK

Tijuana 2-0 Atlas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tijuana
2-0
AWAY Atlas
1.74 xG 0.24
53% Ball Possession 47%
24 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 0
358 Passes 309
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 10
34 Crosses 9
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tijuana vs Atlas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tijuana beat Atlas 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tijuana as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Tijuana had 53% of the ball to Atlas's 47%, shots finished 24-7, expected goals 1.74 to 0.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tijuana had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tijuana and 0.83 for Atlas.

What was the final score of Tijuana vs Atlas?

Tijuana 2-0 Atlas in the Mexico - Primera on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tijuana vs Atlas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tijuana win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Tijuana 57%, draw 22%, Atlas 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tijuana) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tijuana) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK More Mexico - Primera
8 Nov 2025
04:00 FC Juarez vs Queretaro Analysis →
06:00 Mazatlan vs Necaxa Analysis →