Tijuana vs Atlas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tijuana v Atlas — Team-Based Signals
Tijuana vs Atlas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Atlas
MEK
1-1
HT 1-1
Atlas
MEK
1-2
HT 1-2
Tijuana
MEK
Tijuana 3-4 Atlas — Actual Match Statistics
Atlas edged past Tijuana 4-3 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Tijuana at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Tijuana had 65% of the ball to Atlas's 35%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 2.04 to 2.27.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tijuana had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tijuana and 0.33 for Atlas.
What was the final score of Tijuana vs Atlas?
Tijuana 3-4 Atlas in the Mexico - Primera on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tijuana vs Atlas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tijuana win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tijuana 43%, draw 29%, Atlas 27%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.