Academica 1-1 Dezembro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.47
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
15%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
64%
-1.2pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.1pp
15%
Away Win
14%
+1.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.8pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academica EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Dezembro EU Bookmakers 17%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -3%
1.63/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.65
+1% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academica
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Dezembro
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2025 Dezembro Dezembro 2-1 HT 1-1 Academica Academica POR3
18.01.2025 Academica Academica 1-2 HT 0-2 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
05.10.2024 Dezembro Dezembro 1-2 HT 0-1 Academica Academica POR3
05.11.2023 Dezembro Dezembro 0-1 HT 0-1 Academica Academica POR3
08.08.2023 Academica Academica 1-1 HT 0-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academica
1-1
AWAY Dezembro
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Academica vs Dezembro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academica and Dezembro couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Academica at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Academica had 65% of the ball to Dezembro's 35%, shots finished 21-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Academica and 1.20 for Dezembro.

What was the final score of Academica vs Dezembro?

Academica 1-1 Dezembro in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academica vs Dezembro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Academica 63%, draw 22%, Dezembro 15%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Academica), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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