Trofense 1-1 Sao Joao Ver — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+0.6pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trofense EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 23%
-16% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.21/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/2.04
-19% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -33%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trofense
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.08.2025 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 0-0 HT 0-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
30.03.2025 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 0-1 HT 0-1 Trofense Trofense POR3
09.03.2025 Trofense Trofense 3-0 HT 2-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
05.01.2025 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 1-0 HT 0-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
15.09.2024 Trofense Trofense 1-1 HT 1-1 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trofense
1-1
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Trofense vs Sao Joao Ver
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trofense and Sao Joao Ver couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Trofense carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Trofense had 63% of the ball to Sao Joao Ver's 37%, shots finished 15-3.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Trofense had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Trofense and 0.40 for Sao Joao Ver.

What was the final score of Trofense vs Sao Joao Ver?

Trofense 1-1 Sao Joao Ver in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trofense vs Sao Joao Ver?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trofense win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Trofense 55%, draw 22%, Sao Joao Ver 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Trofense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trofense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR3 More Portugal - 3rd Division
8 Nov 2025
18:00 Amora FC vs Atletico CP Analysis →
20:00 Academica vs Dezembro Analysis →
22:00 Paredes vs Sporting Braga II Analysis →