Arsenal Tula 1-0 Chayka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.47
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.19
No
50%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
64%
-6.7pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.9pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+2.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.2pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Tula EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Chayka EU Bookmakers 17%
-11% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +15%
0.97/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.48
-42% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
369 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Tula
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Chayka
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.08.2025 Chayka Chayka 0-3 HT 0-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
17.03.2025 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 0-0 HT 0-0 Chayka Chayka RUS1
21.10.2024 Chayka Chayka 2-2 HT 1-1 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
POST-MATCH Arsenal Tula vs Chayka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Tula nicked a narrow win over Chayka 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arsenal Tula as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Arsenal Tula had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Arsenal Tula and 0.67 for Chayka.

What was the final score of Arsenal Tula vs Chayka?

Arsenal Tula 1-0 Chayka in the Russia - FNL on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Tula vs Chayka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal Tula win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Tula 57%, draw 26%, Chayka 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal Tula), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal Tula) ✓ Under 2.5
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