FK Rodina Moskva 1-1 Neftekhimik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.54
Over 2.5
52%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.29
No
49%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
55%
+2.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
18%
Away Win
18%
-0.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
61%
-13.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
39%
+13.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
40%
+11.7pp
49%
BTTS No
60%
-11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Rodina Moskva EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.48/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.99
+1% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +35%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Rodina Moskva
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Neftekhimik
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
03.09.2025 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 1-5 HT 1-2 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
01.12.2024 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 0-3 HT 0-2 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
29.09.2024 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 2-1 HT 0-0 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
27.08.2023 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 1-4 HT 0-2 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
13.05.2023 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 1-5 HT 1-1 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
23.10.2022 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 0-2 HT 0-1 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Rodina Moskva
1-1
AWAY Neftekhimik
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Rodina Moskva vs Neftekhimik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Rodina Moskva and Neftekhimik couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. FK Rodina Moskva carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FK Rodina Moskva had 52% of the ball to Neftekhimik's 48%, shots finished 16-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for FK Rodina Moskva and 1.67 for Neftekhimik.

What was the final score of FK Rodina Moskva vs Neftekhimik?

FK Rodina Moskva 1-1 Neftekhimik in the Russia - FNL on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Rodina Moskva vs Neftekhimik?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Rodina Moskva win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split FK Rodina Moskva 57%, draw 25%, Neftekhimik 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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