Cerro Largo 2-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
48%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.81
No
41%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
22%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
31%
-4.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
48%
Away Win
41%
+7.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
51%
+7.5pp
41%
BTTS No
49%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 45%
+15% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -17%
1.19/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.18
+9% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Largo
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.06.2025 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
18.05.2025 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
14.11.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
06.07.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-0 HT 1-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
12.05.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 HT 2-1 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
10.11.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 3-0 HT 3-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Largo
2-0
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cerro Largo vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Largo got the better of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Liverpool FC (Montevideo) at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cerro Largo had 39% of the ball to Liverpool FC (Montevideo)'s 61%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cerro Largo and 1.33 for Liverpool FC (Montevideo).

What was the final score of Cerro Largo vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Cerro Largo 2-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) in the Uruguay - Premier League on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Largo vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cerro Largo 26%, draw 25%, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 48%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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