Babelsberg 3-1 Chemie Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
41%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
41%
-7.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
41%
Away Win
31%
+10.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Babelsberg EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Chemie Leipzig EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.72/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.79
+8% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Babelsberg
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Chemie Leipzig
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.07.2024 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-1 HT 0-1 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
26.04.2024 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 0-0 HT 0-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
10.11.2023 Babelsberg Babelsberg 2-0 HT 0-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
29.01.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-1 HT 1-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
07.08.2022 Babelsberg Babelsberg 4-2 HT 1-1 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
06.02.2022 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 3-1 HT 2-1 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Babelsberg vs Chemie Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Babelsberg got the better of Chemie Leipzig 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Chemie Leipzig at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Babelsberg had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Babelsberg and 1.17 for Chemie Leipzig.

What was the final score of Babelsberg vs Chemie Leipzig?

Babelsberg 3-1 Chemie Leipzig in the Germany - Regional League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Babelsberg vs Chemie Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chemie Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Babelsberg 33%, draw 26%, Chemie Leipzig 41%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chemie Leipzig) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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