Holstein Kiel II 0-1 Havelse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
44%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
55%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
44%
Away Win
46%
-1.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.5pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holstein Kiel II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Havelse EU Bookmakers 50%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
1.64/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.54/0.32
+21% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +150%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
259 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holstein Kiel II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Havelse
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.08.2024 Havelse Havelse 1-0 HT 0-0 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
26.11.2023 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 1-3 HT 1-2 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
30.07.2023 Havelse Havelse 1-2 HT 0-1 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
25.02.2023 Havelse Havelse 2-0 HT 0-0 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
31.08.2022 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 3-1 HT 0-0 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
13.10.2019 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 0-0 HT 0-0 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Holstein Kiel II vs Havelse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Havelse squeezed past Holstein Kiel II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Havelse as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Havelse led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Holstein Kiel II and 1.33 for Havelse.

What was the final score of Holstein Kiel II vs Havelse?

Holstein Kiel II 0-1 Havelse in the Germany - Regional League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holstein Kiel II vs Havelse?

Before kick-off our model rated an Havelse win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Holstein Kiel II 32%, draw 23%, Havelse 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Havelse) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Havelse) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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