Meuselwitz 0-1 Luckenwalde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.9pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.3pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+8.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.9pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meuselwitz EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 31%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.93/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.88
+7% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meuselwitz
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Luckenwalde
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.07.2024 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 2-2 HT 1-1 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
11.02.2024 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-0 HT 1-0 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
18.08.2023 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 1-2 HT 1-1 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
11.03.2023 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-4 HT 1-2 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
02.10.2022 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 3-1 HT 0-1 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
28.01.2022 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 0-2 HT 0-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Meuselwitz vs Luckenwalde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luckenwalde edged past Meuselwitz 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Meuselwitz at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luckenwalde led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Meuselwitz and 1.50 for Luckenwalde.

What was the final score of Meuselwitz vs Luckenwalde?

Meuselwitz 0-1 Luckenwalde in the Germany - Regional League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meuselwitz vs Luckenwalde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meuselwitz win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Meuselwitz 45%, draw 20%, Luckenwalde 35%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Meuselwitz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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