Homburg vs Mainz 05 II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Homburg v Mainz 05 II — Team-Based Signals
Homburg vs Mainz 05 II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-4
HT 0-1
Homburg
ALMBÖL
2-2
HT 1-1
Homburg
ALMBÖL
0-3
HT 0-1
Mainz 05 II
ALMBÖL
3-2
HT 2-0
Mainz 05 II
ALMBÖL
Homburg ran out comfortable winners over Mainz 05 II 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Homburg as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Homburg and 1.83 for Mainz 05 II.
What was the final score of Homburg vs Mainz 05 II?
Homburg 4-0 Mainz 05 II in the Germany - Regional League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Homburg vs Mainz 05 II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Homburg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Homburg 46%, draw 28%, Mainz 05 II 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Homburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.