Havelse 1-0 Holstein Kiel II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 21 Aug 2024

📅21/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.59
Over 2.5
67%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.55
No
34%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-11.8pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.9pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.0pp
33%
Under 2.5
35%
-2.2pp
67%
Over 2.5
65%
+2.2pp
66%
BTTS Yes
60%
+5.9pp
34%
BTTS No
40%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Havelse EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Holstein Kiel II EU Bookmakers 21%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +16%
1.07/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.64
-50% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
368 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Havelse
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Holstein Kiel II
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 1-3 HT 1-2 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
30.07.2023 Havelse Havelse 1-2 HT 0-1 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
25.02.2023 Havelse Havelse 2-0 HT 0-0 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
31.08.2022 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 3-1 HT 0-0 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
13.10.2019 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 0-0 HT 0-0 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Havelse
1-0
AWAY Holstein Kiel II
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Havelse vs Holstein Kiel II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Havelse nicked a narrow win over Holstein Kiel II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Havelse as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Havelse had 50% of the ball to Holstein Kiel II's 50%, shots finished 14-7.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Havelse and 1.20 for Holstein Kiel II.

What was the final score of Havelse vs Holstein Kiel II?

Havelse 1-0 Holstein Kiel II in the Germany - Regional League on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Havelse vs Holstein Kiel II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Havelse win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Havelse 49%, draw 24%, Holstein Kiel II 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Havelse) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Havelse) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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