Perth Glory (K) 0-1 Melbourne Victory (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 8 Dec 2024

Perth Glory (K)
0-1 HT 0-0
Melbourne Victory (K)
📅08/12/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Perth Glory (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
56%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
26%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
21%
-2.0pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.5pp
56%
Away Win
58%
-1.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.4pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Perth Glory (K) v Melbourne Victory (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth Glory (K) EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.88/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.78
+86% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -49%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
243 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 81%
4.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
6.6 Crosses 15.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7

Perth Glory (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth Glory (K)
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K)
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.56 xG 1.62
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
288 Passes 293
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
12.01.2024 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
28.12.2019 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
10.02.2019 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 2-4 HT 1-0 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
01.02.2019 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 1-2 HT 0-2 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
28.12.2018 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
19.11.2017 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 3-1 HT 0-0 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW

Perth Glory (K) 0-1 Melbourne Victory (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perth Glory (K)
0-1
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K)
0.73 xG 1.74
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 4
216 Passes 305
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Perth Glory (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Victory (K) edged past Perth Glory (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Melbourne Victory (K) as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Perth Glory (K) had 43% of the ball to Melbourne Victory (K)'s 57%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.73 to 1.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne Victory (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Perth Glory (K) and 1.67 for Melbourne Victory (K).

What was the final score of Perth Glory (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)?

Perth Glory (K) 0-1 Melbourne Victory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth Glory (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne Victory (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory (K) 19%, draw 25%, Melbourne Victory (K) 56%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
8 Dec 2024
06:00 Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K) Analysis →
09:00 Western United (K) vs Sydney (K) Analysis →
09:30 Adelaide United (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K) Analysis →