Asteras Tripolis 0-1 Panathinaikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.09
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
55%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.09
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.88
6+ Goals
9%
16.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 31% vs market 27.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
9.5
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
6%
17.55
X/1
8%
11.25
X/2
15%
3.71
X/X
11%
4.98
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
34%
2.04
2/X
7%
16.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
17%
+4.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
55%
Away Win
59%
-3.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.0pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 62%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
0.64/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/0.94
+5% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -5%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
262 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 84%
13.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.9
15.1 Crosses 16.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asteras Tripolis
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Panathinaikos
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.56 xG 1.21
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
263 Passes 475
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0-1 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
21.01.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
28.09.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-4 HT 1-2 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
30.01.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-0 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
09.10.2022 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-0 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
29.01.2022 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0-1 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asteras Tripolis
0-1
AWAY Panathinaikos
1.64 xG 2.66
36% Ball Possession 64%
14 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 9
207 Passes 418
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 42
17 Crosses 30
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Asteras Tripolis vs Panathinaikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos nicked a narrow win over Asteras Tripolis 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Panathinaikos as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 36% of the ball to Panathinaikos's 64%, shots finished 14-23, expected goals 1.64 to 2.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 1.17 for Panathinaikos.

What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs Panathinaikos?

Asteras Tripolis 0-1 Panathinaikos in the Greece - Super League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs Panathinaikos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 21%, draw 24%, Panathinaikos 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panathinaikos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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