OFI 1-2 AEK Atina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 8 Dec 2024

OFI
1-2 HT 1-1
AEK Atina
📅08/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2024/2025

OFI vs AEK Atina Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
6.35
Draw
27%
4.62
Away
50%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.56
2-3 Goals
41%
1.92
4-5 Goals
22%
2.93
6+ Goals
11%
8.49
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.56 — our 26% vs market 17.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
13.25
1/2
8%
22.55
1/X
6%
21.05
X/1
9%
17.05
X/2
13%
3.56
X/X
16%
7.23
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
29%
1.61
2/X
5%
20.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
12%
+11.1pp
27%
Draw
18%
+9.1pp
50%
Away Win
70%
-20.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

OFI v AEK Atina — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFI EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 75%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -20%
0.81/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/0.73
+12% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -18%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
238 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 82%
12.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.2
13.6 Crosses 24.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

OFI vs AEK Atina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFI
2W-0D-4L
AWAY AEK Atina
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.82 xG 1.57
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
236 Passes 400
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.08.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 2-0 OFI OFI YUN
28.01.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 1-0 OFI OFI YUN
02.10.2023 OFI OFI 2-0 HT 1-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
05.03.2023 OFI OFI 0-3 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
09.11.2022 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 2-0 OFI OFI YUN
20.12.2021 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-2 HT 1-1 OFI OFI YUN

OFI 1-2 AEK Atina — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFI
1-2
AWAY AEK Atina
0.14 xG 2.64
20% Ball Possession 80%
3 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 14
82 Passes 508
56% Pass Accuracy 89%
6 Box Touches 51
3 Crosses 31
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH OFI vs AEK Atina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina squeezed past OFI 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, OFI had 20% of the ball to AEK Atina's 80%, shots finished 3-16, expected goals 0.14 to 2.64 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold AEK Atina's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for OFI and 2.17 for AEK Atina.

What was the final score of OFI vs AEK Atina?

OFI 1-2 AEK Atina in the Greece - Super League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFI vs AEK Atina?

Before kick-off our model rated an AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split OFI 23%, draw 27%, AEK Atina 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✗ BTTS No
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