Panserraikos 1-4 PAOK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.91
Draw
30%
4.34
Away
51%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.02
2-3 Goals
46%
1.87
4-5 Goals
19%
3.17
6+ Goals
8%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.02 — our 27% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
12.15
1/2
8%
23.4
1/X
6%
19.65
X/1
5%
15.05
X/2
22%
3.6
X/X
15%
6.35
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
21%
1.72
2/X
9%
18.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
14%
+5.5pp
30%
Draw
20%
+9.6pp
51%
Away Win
66%
-15.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY PAOK EU Bookmakers 70%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +19%
0.57/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.76
-62% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -8%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
217 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 80%
14.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
19.4 Crosses 17.9
4.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panserraikos
0W-1D-5L
AWAY PAOK
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
1.07 xG 2.03
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
237 Passes 541
75% Pass Accuracy 88%
11 Box Touches 32
9 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.08.2024 PAOK PAOK 3-2 HT 2-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
28.02.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 0-2 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
31.01.2024 PAOK PAOK 5-0 HT 2-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUK
17.01.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 0-4 HT 0-2 PAOK PAOK YUK
25.11.2023 PAOK PAOK 5-0 HT 2-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
05.01.2011 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-1 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panserraikos
1-4
AWAY PAOK
1.05 xG 2.63
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 7
240 Passes 549
78% Pass Accuracy 90%
25 Box Touches 60
11 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Panserraikos vs PAOK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK cruised past Panserraikos 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Panserraikos had 34% of the ball to PAOK's 66%, shots finished 6-23, expected goals 1.05 to 2.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Panserraikos and 3.33 for PAOK.

What was the final score of Panserraikos vs PAOK?

Panserraikos 1-4 PAOK in the Greece - Super League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panserraikos vs PAOK?

Before kick-off our model rated an PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Panserraikos 19%, draw 30%, PAOK 51%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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