Achuapa vs Mixco Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Achuapa v Mixco — Team-Based Signals
Achuapa vs Mixco Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Achuapa 3-2 Mixco — Actual Match Statistics
Achuapa squeezed past Mixco 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Achuapa as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Achuapa had 65% of the ball to Mixco's 35%, shots finished 8-6.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Achuapa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Achuapa and 1.50 for Mixco.
What was the final score of Achuapa vs Mixco?
Achuapa 3-2 Mixco in the Guatemala - National League on 08/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Achuapa vs Mixco?
Before kick-off our model rated a Achuapa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Achuapa 43%, draw 25%, Mixco 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Achuapa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.