Mixco 5-1 Achuapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
11%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.4
No
49%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
3%
X/X
12%
2/1
16%
2/2
3%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
63%
-3.1pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.3pp
11%
Away Win
13%
-2.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
38%
+13.1pp
49%
BTTS No
62%
-13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mixco EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Achuapa EU Bookmakers 16%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.59/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.75
-12% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
338 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mixco
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Achuapa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2025 Achuapa Achuapa 3-2 HT 3-1 Mixco Mixco GUAT
06.04.2025 Mixco Mixco 1-0 HT 1-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
03.02.2025 Achuapa Achuapa 0-0 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
03.11.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 2-1 HT 1-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
18.08.2024 Mixco Mixco 0-1 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
28.04.2024 Mixco Mixco 2-1 HT 2-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mixco
5-1
AWAY Achuapa
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mixco vs Achuapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mixco cruised past Achuapa 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mixco as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Mixco had 50% of the ball to Achuapa's 50%, shots finished 18-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Achuapa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mixco and 1.17 for Achuapa.

What was the final score of Mixco vs Achuapa?

Mixco 5-1 Achuapa in the Guatemala - National League on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mixco vs Achuapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mixco win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Mixco 60%, draw 29%, Achuapa 11%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mixco), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mixco) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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GUAT More Guatemala - National League
22 Nov 2025
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