Spartak Subotica 1-2 Backa Topola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 8 Dec 2025

📅08/12/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.7pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / +2%
1.02/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.10
+4% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
250 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
14.4 Crosses 16.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Subotica
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Backa Topola
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.11 xG 1.67
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
196 Passes 492
68% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2025 Backa Topola Backa Topola 2-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
12.03.2025 Backa Topola Backa Topola 2-1 HT 0-1 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRBK
08.12.2024 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 0-0 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
04.08.2024 Backa Topola Backa Topola 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
16.03.2024 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 2-4 HT 0-2 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
08.10.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 0-2 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Subotica
1-2
AWAY Backa Topola
0.42 xG 1.60
46% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
225 Passes 261
70% Pass Accuracy 73%
4 Box Touches 21
6 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Spartak Subotica vs Backa Topola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Backa Topola squeezed past Spartak Subotica 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Backa Topola made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Spartak Subotica had 46% of the ball to Backa Topola's 54%, shots finished 4-14, expected goals 0.42 to 1.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Backa Topola led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Spartak Subotica and 1.33 for Backa Topola.

What was the final score of Spartak Subotica vs Backa Topola?

Spartak Subotica 1-2 Backa Topola in the Serbia - Super League on 08/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Subotica vs Backa Topola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Subotica win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Spartak Subotica 37%, draw 26%, Backa Topola 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Spartak Subotica), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Subotica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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